
The Chicago Bears arrive in Green Bay as 2.5- to 3-point favorites, marking their first time holding that advantage at Lambeau Field in two decades. With quarterback Caleb Williams questionable due to a Grade 2 hamstring injury, Tyson Bagent is expected to start under first-year head coach Ben Johnson, who has already guided three different quarterbacks to victories this season.
The Bears’ defense, which has stifled the last three opponents to 12 points or fewer, will face a Green Bay unit that lost linebacker Edgerrin Cooper for the season in last week’s road win over Tampa Bay. Looking ahead to 2025, the Bears improved their offense from last in the league to roughly average in expected points added per play, while their rushing attack led the NFL in efficiency.
However, the defense—despite leading the league in takeaways—struggled with overall effectiveness, ranking near the bottom in success rate and sacks. Key departures include standout defensive backs DJ Moore, Kevin Byard, and Tremaine Edmunds, while the Bears added free agents like Coby Bryant and Devin Bush to bolster their secondary and linebacker corps.
The Packers, meanwhile, enter the matchup with a struggling offense ranked near last in success rate and rushing efficiency, while their defense has allowed a league-average number of points per game.

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