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One key element hints that Bills might be due on defense
Photo via Yahoo Sports
NFL

One key element hints that Bills might be due on defense

October 7, 2026

Despite a strong pass rush that ranks fourth in the league for pressure rate and eighth in sacks, the Buffalo Bills defense has struggled to suppress opposing quarterback production early in the 2026 season. Through four games, Buffalo has allowed a 103.4 passer rating, a figure that stands in stark contrast to historical league-wide data where pressure typically leads to a significant drop in efficiency.

An analysis of over 35,000 pressured dropbacks from 2021 through 2025 shows that quarterbacks usually see their passer rating plummet by 31.8 points when under duress. However, against Buffalo, signal-callers like C.J.

Stroud, Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, and Drake Maye have seen their rating dip by only 19.7 points, maintaining a 91.0 rating while pressured. This discrepancy suggests that while the Bills are generating consistent pressure, the secondary has yet to capitalize on those opportunities as effectively as league standards would predict heading into their upcoming matchup against the Rams.

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