
Alabama’s College Football Playoff hopes took a sharp turn for the worse after a 26–10 loss to Tennessee at Neyland Stadium, with ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) slashing the Crimson Tide’s postseason odds by over a third in a single game. The Tide, which entered the season with five straight wins and a No.
5 ranking, now sit at No. 6 nationally and face just a 49.4% chance of reaching the playoff—down from 82.4% before Saturday’s defeat.
The back-to-back losses to Georgia and Tennessee have exposed vulnerabilities in Kalen DeBoer’s squad, despite Alabama remaining among the top teams in the predictive model. Among SEC programs, only Georgia (78.1%) holds a higher projected playoff probability, while Tennessee’s convincing win propelled the Volunteers to No.
12 in the latest rankings. Though Alabama still ranks sixth overall, the steep drop in playoff confidence underscores how quickly momentum can shift in a tight race for postseason berths.

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