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Dodgers’ chances for Game 1 win vs Braves may wilt depending on heat
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MLB

Dodgers’ chances for Game 1 win vs Braves may wilt depending on heat

October 2, 2026

As the Dodgers prepare to open their National League Division Series against the Atlanta Braves this weekend, extreme weather is expected to play a major role in Los Angeles's pitching strategy. Temperatures are projected to hit one hundred degrees by Saturday afternoon when twenty-nine-year-old starter Tarik Skubal takes the mound, raising concerns about stamina, grip control, and the potential for a heavily taxed relief corps.

Studies indicate that such intense heat typically yields higher slugging percentages, elevated walk rates, and increased home run totals, posing a significant challenge for a power pitcher who relies heavily on his fastballs.

While the Braves enter the matchup after exhausting portions of their pitching rotation during a previous three-game wild-card round against Philadelphia, their lineup features dangerous power hitters capable of capitalizing on any fatigue. Matt Olson led Atlanta through the regular season with forty-one homers and a high slugging mark, closely followed by teammates Michael Harris and Drake Baldwin.

If the extreme conditions force Skubal to exit early, Los Angeles will be forced to turn to a bullpen that posted a 3.74 ERA and struggled with walks throughout the season.

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