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Ramalytics: Don’t blitz Josh Allen

The Los Angeles Rams have ramped up their blitz frequency in recent weeks, a shift that has paid off against quarterbacks like Jalen Hurts and Bo Nix. Their aggressive approach—now hitting extra rushers on nearly half of their defensive snaps—has stifled offenses, but it could backfire against Josh Allen in their Week 5 showdown.

Allen thrives when defenses send additional pressure, posting a higher completion percentage and passer rating when blitzed compared to when he faces standard coverage. With the Rams currently blitzing at a rate that ranks among the league’s more conservative teams, they risk falling into a trap by overcommitting against Allen’s ability to extend plays and exploit defensive overaggression.

The Bills’ quarterback has been targeted by extra rushers less than 30% of the time, a rate that would place most defenses in the bottom third of the NFL, yet he still outperforms expectations when the blitz comes. The Rams’ defensive adjustments have been effective, but Allen’s unique skill set—combined with his tendency to force throws—means patience and disciplined coverage will be key to limiting his impact on Monday Night Football.

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