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PL Predictions: Leeds to inflict Jaissle's first loss as Newcastle boss

Leeds United prepare to host Newcastle United on Monday evening, with analyst Lewis Jones tipping the hosts to hand manager Matthias Jaissle his first defeat via a 2-1 result. Daniel Farke's side enters the fixture having gone unbeaten across 11 of their previous 12 Premier League outings, making them an 11/8 betting prospect to secure maximum points at home.

Conversely, Newcastle's underlying metrics point toward potential regression following their recent draw against Bournemouth; despite netting six times, they hold an expected goals figure of only three while simultaneously conceding more shots than any other top-flight squad this campaign.

From a tactical and disciplinary perspective, Newcastle's £51m recruit Matias Fernandez-Pardo is pushing for an initial starting role after two consecutive substitute appearances across competitions. The former Lille forward drew 15 bookings across slightly more than 3,000 minutes in France last year, presenting a direct challenge for Leeds' Ethan Ampadu, who accumulated 10 yellow cards during the previous season and is tipped at 3/1 to enter the referee's notebook.

5 total goals.