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2026 NFL Win Totals: Over/Unders For All 32 Squads

With the NFL season now four weeks in, DraftKings Sportsbook has adjusted its win-total projections for several teams, reflecting early-season momentum and injury concerns. The Arizona Cardinals, who managed just three wins last year, opened at 3.5 but have already dropped to 1-3, facing a challenging stretch against the Lions, Rams, Broncos, Cowboys, Seahawks, and Chiefs.

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons—who closed out 2025 with a four-game winning streak—remain steady at an over/under of 8.5 wins, now favored to exceed that mark after a 2-0 start under quarterback Michael Penix Jr. The Baltimore Ravens, despite Lamar Jackson’s injury-plagued 2025 season, are still projected to surpass 11.5 wins after a 3-1 start, while the Buffalo Bills have quietly raised their win total from 10.5 to 11.5, continuing their streak of exceeding expectations in recent years.

The Carolina Panthers, NFC South champions last season with just eight wins, sit at 2-2 but remain projected at 7.5 wins, while the Chicago Bears—despite a tougher schedule and Caleb Williams’ injury—have seen their win total climb from 10.5 to 11.5 after a 3-1 record. The Cincinnati Bengals, however, have not shifted from their preseason projection of 10.5 wins, despite a 2-2 start and recent losses.

The Cleveland Browns, who finished last in the AFC North last year, have yet to see their win total move, despite offseason changes including the hiring of Todd Monken as co-head coach.

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