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College Football Picks, Havoc Rankings: Our Week 7 Prediction for Mississippi State vs. LSU

LSU enters Week 7 as one of college football’s most disruptive defensive units, ranking seventh in the nation for creating havoc on offense. The Tigers lead the SEC in tackles for loss and pass breakups, with edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen anchoring a top-10 pass rush.

Their aggressive scheme, overseen by defensive coordinator Blake Baker, will face its sternest test against Mississippi State, a Bulldogs team still recovering from a Week 5 shellacking by Alabama. Quarterback Kamario Taylor, who threw two interceptions and three turnover-worthy plays under heavy pressure, could be further impacted by lingering lower-body injuries, along with running back Fluff Bothwell.

Meanwhile, LSU’s secondary—highlighted by safeties Tamarcus Cooley and TJ Dottery, the second- and third-ranked coverage defenders in FBS—will look to contain Mississippi State’s star receiver, Anthony Evans III, in a high-stakes SEC showdown. Despite being favored by just 11 points per betting models, LSU’s defensive dominance in Havoc metrics suggests a larger margin could materialize in Death Valley.

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